The real cost of a home goes far beyond the mortgage payment
When people compare renting to buying, the instinct is to line up a monthly mortgage payment against monthly rent and call the lower number the winner. That shortcut ignores most of the actual money at stake.
Buying a home front-loads a cascade of costs: a down payment, closing costs typically running 2–4% of the purchase price, and then a monthly mortgage payment that is mostly interest in the early years. On top of that come property taxes — nationwide roughly 1–1.5% of value annually but varying enormously by county — homeowners insurance, and the often-forgotten maintenance budget. Industry estimates and academic studies consistently put maintenance at 1–2% of home value per year. On a $450,000 home that is $375–$750 a month, every month, before anything breaks unexpectedly. New roofs, HVAC systems, water heaters, and appliances do not appear on any mortgage statement, but they appear on your bank account.
Opportunity cost is the hidden lever
The down payment is money you have already saved. When you commit it to a home, you stop earning investment returns on it. A $90,000 down payment invested at a 7% annual return grows to roughly $177,000 over ten years. That $87,000 in foregone gains is a real cost of homeownership — one that most online calculators omit entirely or bury in fine print.
This does not mean buying is wrong. It means buying requires appreciation and equity buildup to compensate. If the home rises in value faster than the investment alternative, buying wins. If not, renting and investing the difference wins.
Selling costs change everything at exit
When you sell, you typically pay a real estate commission plus transfer taxes and other fees totaling 5–7% of the sale price. On a $500,000 home that is $25,000–$35,000 leaving your pocket at closing. A home that "appreciates" 15% over five years but costs 6% to sell has a net gain of only about 9% — and that is before accounting for what you paid in mortgage interest, taxes, and maintenance to get there.
Time horizon is the most important variable
Short horizons heavily favor renting. Buying, selling, and moving within two or three years almost always costs more than renting because closing costs and selling commissions are amortized over too few years. The NYT Rent vs. Buy calculator famously illustrated this with a crossover model: there exists a break-even horizon for any scenario, before which renting wins and after which buying wins. This calculator shows you that crossover year in the schedule table.
Beyond roughly seven to ten years, most scenarios in historical U.S. markets have favored buying, primarily because long-run appreciation compounds and rent growth means the alternative is not free. But past averages are not future guarantees. Run the model with a range of appreciation assumptions before deciding.